The Rapture Just Happened: What You Need To Know. Pastor Jack Hibbs.
Saturday, October 5, 2024
Pastors’ Point of View (PPOV) no. 322. Prophecy update. Dr. Andy Woods.
Pastors’ Point of View (PPOV) no. 322. Prophecy update.
Dr. Andy Woods. 10-4-24.
Excellent update.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8hDdYl4Ti9I&t=1207s
Blueprint for Control: Europe’s Digital Vaccination Card and the Coming Era of Total Surveillance. By Amy Mek.
Blueprint for Control: Europe’s Digital Vaccination Card and the Coming Era of Total Surveillance.
Amy Mek.
Investigative Journalist.
The EU’s digital vaccination card, planned long before the pandemic, is quietly creating a global surveillance network that strips citizens of their rights, invades their privacy, and hands control over to unelected communist bodies like the WHO—all while the public remains in the dark.
In an alarming turn of events, the European Union has quietly begun the first steps toward a future where your freedom could depend on your vaccination status. The rollout of a digital vaccination card, already underway in five EU countries, signals a dangerous expansion of technocratic control over citizens’ lives. This new initiative, led by the body known as European Vaccination Beyond Covid (EUVABECO), is responsible for linking individuals’ vaccination records to their personal identification numbers—without their explicit consent. What was once a matter of public health has now transformed into an unprecedented invasion of privacy.
According to lawyer Meike Terhorst, who recently spoke with Blckbx, the gravity of this development is going largely unnoticed. “There is no real discussion about this,” she emphasized. What is unfolding isn’t just a health initiative—it’s a far-reaching data grab that could allow the EU to exert a level of control over its population that would have been inconceivable just a few years ago.
A Future Where Travel Hinges on Compliance
Imagine waking up to find that your ability to travel or even participate in daily life hinges on whether your vaccination records are “up-to-date.” That dystopian future is no longer just a speculative possibility—it’s already in motion. Under the European vaccination card system, a citizen’s ability to move freely across borders may soon be tied directly to their vaccination status. Those who fail to comply could find themselves grounded and unable to travel.
“It’s all in the 2018 roadmap from the European Commission,” Terhorst revealed. Even before the COVID-19 pandemic, the EU had already laid out a blueprint for a vaccination card or passport for all citizens. The pandemic merely accelerated the deployment of this invasive infrastructure, pushing a plan long in the works. By 2026, this digital vaccination passport is expected to be fully operational across all EU member states.
In fact, “In 2018, there was the Roadmap to Vaccination Passport. It was started by the European Commission… So it’s been prepared for a long time,” Terhorst added. This shows that what is happening today was not a spontaneous public health decision but a long-term plan put into action, only accelerated by the pandemic.
The EU’s Quiet Power Grab
For years, the EU has used public health as a means to increase its control, but the implementation of this vaccination card marks a dramatic escalation. Pilot programs have already been launched in Latvia, Greece, Belgium, Germany, and Portugal—without any meaningful public consultation about their broader implications. The most troubling aspect is the direct link between citizens’ medical records and their personal identification numbers—an authoritarian move thinly veiled as administrative efficiency.
“Without the consent of the people involved, a link is made between vaccination data and personal numbers,” Terhorst warned. This not only constitutes a serious invasion of privacy but represents a full-scale assault on individual freedoms. Meanwhile, most of the public remains in the dark about how their sensitive data is being manipulated.
The European Union is effectively building a vast digital infrastructure that funnels personal data into a system operating outside legal boundaries. Terhorst emphasized that the EU has transferred enormous power to public health bodies, bypassing the fundamental rights of its citizens. “They are doing things that are not legally possible at all,” she remarked ominously. This power shift sets a dangerous precedent, where personal data far beyond vaccination records could be centralized and controlled by unelected authorities.
The WHO’s Global Expansion of Control
Even more troubling is the global reach of this system. The World Health Organization (WHO) has eagerly adopted the EU’s technological framework, turning the European digital COVID certificate into a global standard. “The WHO is proud today to launch the Global Digital Health Certification Network… The EU’s digital infrastructure has been handed over to the WHO, allowing for a seamless integration of medical data across borders,“ Terhorst explained. The vaccination card is no longer a regional issue—it’s becoming a global tool of control.
“The QR code technology has been taken over by the WHO, and 80 countries are connected to it,” added Terhorst. This expansion means that the technology behind the vaccination certificate is designed to be non-falsifiable and impossible to evade, locking individuals into a global surveillance network.
“If you’re not vaccinated, you may be locked out of basic freedoms like travel or access to public spaces,” Terhorst emphasized. This is not about health—it’s about creating a global system of oversight where unelected bodies like the WHO hold immense power over individuals. The global network of control is already in place, and the public is losing its ability to resist.
The Threat to Sovereignty and Individual Rights
The EU has also passed laws that give public health bodies unprecedented control over citizens. “All EU member states have passed laws to ensure that sovereignty over these matters has been surrendered to public health law,” Terhorst explained. This means that in future health crises, European ministers will have the power to impose vaccination mandates without public consent.
Worse yet, the next step involves transferring sovereignty to unelected global bodies. “With the next change in the law, part of that sovereignty is transferred to the WHO,” Terhorst revealed. This poses serious questions about democratic oversight and the dangers of centralizing control in a global institution that operates outside national borders.
Full article:
https://rairfoundation.com/blueprint-control-europes-digital-vaccination-card-coming-era/
Friday, October 4, 2024
The One World Order Is Here. UN Pact of the Future. “United under UN Tyranny”. By Peter Koenig.
The One World Order Is Here. UN Pact of the Future. “United under UN Tyranny”.
By Peter Koenig.
Peter Koenig is a geopolitical analyst and a former Senior Economist at the World Bank and the World Health Organization (WHO), where he worked for over 30 years around the world. Peter is a Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG). He is also a non-resident Senior Fellow of the Chongyang Institute of Renmin University, Beijing.
The UN Pact of the Future is perhaps best explained by Dr. Sherry Tenpenny. (Video Below) She explains in simple terms the way the Pact was ratified and what appalling elements for humanity’s future it contains.
The Pact was approved during the weekend 22 / 23 September 2024, by all 193 UN member countries, by a procedure called “The Silence Procedure” — it is not by vote, but by non-objection. It is a Pact, and if nobody objects it is automatically adopted.
A pact is a formal agreement between two or more parties, often used in a less formal context than a treaty. A Pact can refer to agreements in various fields, including politics and personal relationships. A Pact, generally implies a mutual commitment but is not legally binding.
In the part of informality lies our chance. But only if and when sovereign countries decide to renegue on the Pact.
Nevertheless, it was accepted – worldwide – by the West and the East, or Global South, meaning for the West primarily the US and Europe, and for the East by China and Russia.
How many of the 193 members have been coerced not to object?
Adversaries and even enemies have united under a UN tyranny for the future.
What does that say for our globe of freedom loving people – about 8 billon of us?
Outright enslavement in a Digital Gulag, if we, the People, let it go.
The guess is up to you. But it means, it is futile to think there is still hope for escaping to the Global South. They too have accepted the UN Pact for the Future.
It is the World Health Organization’s (WHO) runaround and go-around. Since the Pandemic Treaty was not accepted by the World Health Assembly (WHA) this past May, they took it to the UN. It is even more egregious than the WHO Pandemic Treaty and the new WHO International Health Regulations (IHR) combined.
The UN Pact consists of two parts, one on Science and Technology, and the other on Youth and Future Generations. In the Press Release (23.9.2024) after the UN Summit for the World of the Future, the language is typically UN wishy-washy, so it can be interpreted in many directions.
Reality is different.
The Pact says that this is the power structure for the control of the masses. Everyone is expected to have a biometric digital ID that marks them not only as a citizen of an individual country but as a global citizen.
Anytime you hear “global” or “sustainability,” it refers to the UN Agenda 2030, and to the new WHO horrifying power (the Pandemic Treaty formulated differently) to control and brand us, if necessary, with deadly vaccines.
Anyone who has a dissenting opinion will be labeled conspiracy theorist, as in misinformation, disinformation, or malinformation, and will be censored.
Perpetrators will be “fact-checked” and punished by the system, operated, and enforced by artificial intelligence (AI).
Punishment will include being locked out of your bank account, unable to make certain purchases, unable to get on an airplane, subway, or other public transportation system, or drive on public roads.
This is the future according to the world’s self-appointed overlords at the United Nations, consisting of unelected technocrats, put into their places because of their obedience to the powers behind the UN overlords.
Peter Koenig.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/one-world-order-un-pact-future/5869162
Thursday, October 3, 2024
1 Corinthians 13:8-13. What is “The Perfect” ? Dr. Andy Woods.
1 Corinthians 13:8-13.
What is “The Perfect” (Teleios)?
Dr.
Andy Woods.
Love never fails; but if there are gifts of prophecy, they will be done away; if there are tongues, they will cease; if there is knowledge, it will be done away. For we know in part and we prophesy in part; but when the perfect comes, the partial will be done away. When I was a child, I used to speak like a child, think like a child, reason like a child; when I became a man, I did away with childish things. For now we see in a mirror dimly, but then face to face; now I know in part, but then I will know fully just as I also have been fully known. But now faith, hope, love, abide these three; but the greatest of these is love.
1 Corinthians 13:8-13
Endurance of Love Emphasis:
A) Unlike Love, the Revelatory Gifts will cease. (8-10)
B) 2 Illustrations (11-12)
Transition
from Immaturity to
Maturity (11)
Transition
from Limited sight to
full sight (12)
C) Unlike Love, Faith (2 Cor. 5:7) and Hope (Rom 8:24) will cease (13)
Because the day in history will come when Faith won't be necessary because we will see Jesus as He is and the day in history will come when hope will be unnecessary because we will see Jesus as He is
so of those three, there's only one that's going to continue on and that's Love itself.
Apostle Paul brings all of this up
because of his concern about disunity in the body of christ concerning the
practice of these revelatory gifts and how the Corinthians were misusing these.
So the big question is: okay, if prophecy tongues and knowledge are going to
cease when the perfect comes, the big question of course is what is meant by
the word perfect?
What is “The
Perfect” (Teleios)? In 1 Cor. 13:10.
There are 3 different views: He has probably held all three of these views at different times in his christian life:
1. Eschaton or End.
The perfect is talking about something in the eschaton, yet future. Some eschatological event, like the second coming, the millennial kingdom, the rapture; and so these revelatory gifts continue until that eschatological event takes place.
2. Maturity of The Church.
The perfect is when the church reaches a state of maturity and once the church reaches that state of maturity then the revelatory gift cease.
3. Completion of The New Testament Canon.
This is speaking of the completed
new testament canon. Once the canon of the new testament is completed, once John
finished the very last verse in Revelation chapter 22, we had a completed canon
and the revelatory gifts at that point, about AD 95, stopped.
Dr. Andy Woods believes this is the Correct View, which has sadly fallen on hard
times and has no
exegetical defense for it at all.
Dr. Martin Lloyd-Jones commenting on view number three and he said indeed there's only one word to describe such a view it is nonsense!
Dr. Andy Woods believes His view is the product of a paper that He wrote for the Chafer Theological Journal back in 2004. Third view is the only one that makes sense.
Excerpts from:
Andy Woods - The Meaning of “The Perfect” in 1 Corinthians 13:8–13
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=duMwoylpCyg
Tuesday, October 1, 2024
Is Worldwide Depopulation Part of the Billionaire's "Great Reset"? By Prof Michel Chossudovsky.
“Billionaires Try to Shrink World’s Population”: Secret Gathering Sponsored by Bill Gates, 2009 Meeting of “The Good Club”
Is Worldwide Depopulation Part of the Billionaire's "Great Reset"
By Prof Michel Chossudovsky.
Michel Chossudovsky is an award-winning author, Professor of Economics
(emeritus) at the University of Ottawa, Founder and Director of the
Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG), Montreal, Editor of Global
Research.
For more than ten years, meetings have been held by billionaires described as philanthropists to Reduce the Size of the World’s Population culminating with the 2020-2023 Covid crisis.
Recent developments suggest that “Depopulation” is an integral part of the so-called Covid mandates including the lockdown policies and the mRNA “vaccine”.
Flash back to 2009. According to the Wall Street Journal: “Billionaires Try to Shrink World’s Population”.
In May 2009, the Billionaire philanthropists met behind closed doors at the home of the president of The Rockefeller University in Manhattan.
This Secret Gathering was sponsored by Bill Gates. They called themselves “The Good Club”.
Among the participants were the late David Rockefeller, Warren Buffett, George Soros, Michael Bloomberg Ted Turner, Oprah Winfrey and many more.
In May 2009, the WSJ as well as the Sunday Times reported: (John Harlow, Los Angeles) that
“Some of America’s leading billionaires have met secretly to consider how their wealth could be used to slow the growth of the world’s population and speed up improvements in health and education.”
The emphasis was not on population growth (i.e Planned Parenthood) but on “Depopulation”, i.e,. the reduction in the absolute size of the World’s population.
“The Good Club” Then and Now
The same group of billionaires who met at the May 2009 secret venue at the Rockefeller University in Manhattan, have been actively involved from the outset of the Covid crisis in designing the lockdown policies applied Worldwide including the mRNA vaccine and the WEF’s “Great Reset”.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/secret-may-2009-meeting-of-the-good-club-billionaire-club-in-bid-to-curb-overpopulation/5742626
Toxicology vs Virology: The Rockefeller Institute and the Criminal Polio Fraud. By F. William Engdahl.
Toxicology vs Virology: The Rockefeller Institute and the Criminal Polio Fraud.
Strategic risk consultant
and lecturer, he holds a degree in politics from Princeton University
and is a best-selling author on oil and geopolitics.
He is a Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG)
Global Research, September 05, 2024.
Over a century ago the world’s richest man, oil baron John D. Rockefeller, and his circle of advisors set about to completely reorganize how medicine was practiced in the USA and the rest of the world. The role of the Rockefeller Institute and figures like Simon Flexner literally oversaw the invention of a colossal medical fraud around claims that an invisible contagious extraneous germ, the polio virus, caused acute paralysis and even death in young people. They politically banned any efforts to link the disease to toxin poisoning, whether from DDT or arsenic pesticides or even contaminated vaccine poisoning. Their criminal project included intimate cooperation with the leadership of the AMA and control of the emerging drug industry, as well as of medical education. The same Rockefeller group financed Nazi eugenics at the Kaiser Wilhelm Institutes in Germany in the 1930s as well as the American Eugenics Society. In the 1970s they financed the creation of patented GMO seeds which were all developed by the group of Rockefeller chemical pesticide companies—Monsanto, DuPont, Dow.
Today this control of public health and the medical industrial complex is exercised by David Rockefeller’s protegé and eugenics advocate, Bill Gates, self-appointed czar over the WHO and world vaccines. Dr Tony Fauci, head of NIAID, dictates vaccine mandates without evidence. The fraud behind the polio virus scandal after World War II has been refined with use of computer models and other ruses today, to advance one alleged deadly virus after the other, from Covid19 to Monkeypox to HIV. As with polio, none of those has been scientifically isolated and proven to cause the diseases claimed. None.
The same tax-free Rockefeller Foundation today, posing as a philanthropic charity, is at the heart of the global medical tyranny behind covid19 and the eugenics agenda of the World Economic Forum Great Reset.
Their poliomyelitis virus model helped them create this dystopian medical tyranny. We are told, “trust the science.”
Predictive Programming, Symbolism, and Ideological Subversion at Olympic Games Opening Ceremonies. By Mark Keenan.
Predictive Programming, Symbolism, and Ideological Subversion at Olympic Games Opening Ceremonies.
By Mark Keenan.
Former
scientist at the UK Government Dept. of Energy and Climate Change, and
at the United Nations Environment Division. He is a Research Associate
of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG).
Rejecting Indoctrination and Mind Control – The Value of Discernment.
The woke left, hypnotised by decades of new world order propaganda have welcomed and embraced bogus and perverse socio-political agendas. Sports events, TV, internet, and AI neuromancers channel corporate-funded propaganda and thought controls to the minds of the masses. These are mind control wands of the globalists.
When we hear about ‘multi-culturalism’ and ‘diversity’ in the woke political sense – what does it actually mean? The entire world has been multi-cultural for thousands of years before this funded political agenda. Why are these code words and ideologies so embedded into the cultural psyche? Who is funding the subversion of America and the wider world with these ideological agendas?
There is value in discernment, and in distinguishing good from evil. An increasingly perverse and dangerous ideological culture has been foisted upon us all. It can be rejected, and a more God-conscious life can be embraced.Severe global economic recession. By Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay.
Two Big Risks in 2024-2025: an Economic Slowdown and Expanding Hegemonic Conflicts
By Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay.
Emeritus professor of economics and international finance,
Université de Montréal.
"When every country turned to protect its own private interest, the world public interest went down the drain, and with it the private interests of all." Charles Kindleberger (1910-2003). American economic historian, (in his book "The World Depression 1929-1939", 1973)
"The world is a dangerous place to live—not because of the people who are evil but because of the people who don't do anything about it." Albert Einstein (1879-1955). (As quoted in the book by Josep Maria Corredor "Conversations avec Pablo Casals", 1955)
"I think it is the beginning of a new Cold War... I think the Russians will gradually react quite adversely and it will affect their policies. I think it is a tragic mistake. There was no reason for this whatsoever. No one was threatening anybody else." George F. Kennan (1904-2005). American diplomat and historian, (in The New York Times, May 2, 1998, about the U.S. expansion of NATO toward Russia.)
“While defending our own vital interests, nuclear powers must avert those confrontations which bring an adversary to a choice of either a humiliating retreat or a nuclear war. To adopt that kind of course in the nuclear age would be evidence only of the bankruptcy of our policy—or of a collective death-wish for the world.“ John F. Kennedy (1917-1963), 35th U.S. President, 1961-1963, (in an important speech on Monday, June 10, 1963)
In 2024, most economies are expected to face economic headwinds. Indeed, that is why in many countries, especially in Europe and in North America, polls indicate that people's main preoccupations are economic topics, such as the lingering inflation, high personal and public debts and the likelihood of a more or less severe economic recession.
An economic-social issue such as the influx of hordes of illegal immigrants will also be a source of concern, especially in Europe and in North America, above all if the rates of unemployment increase.
Similarly, the ongoing bombing wars in Ukraine and in Palestine, as well as the growing tensions between the United States and China and those between the U.S. and Iran, are foreign policy issues that could raise concerns.
Important economies according to their GDP vs. smaller rich economies per capita
According to World Bank data, the gross domestic product (GDP) of the United States, at mid-year 2023, was $25,463 billion. This places the U.S. economy number one with 24.3 percent of the world economy.
The economy of the European Union (EU), a bloc of 27 countries, represents 21.7 percent of global GDP and is the second largest in the world. China's economy follows in third place, with 15.0 percent of global GDP.
However, in terms of living standards (GDP per capita), small economies dominate the list, with Luxembourg ($127,580) in the lead, followed by Norway ($106,328), Ireland ($103,176) and Switzerland ($92,381).
An overview and expectations
The economic cycles of the major economies do not coincide perfectly, and vary somewhat depending on their economic structures and the economic policies followed by their governments.
The central question today is whether or not the coming economic year will be one in which major economies will be able to avoid a full-fledged economic recession.
The exuberance in the stock and bond markets seems to indicate that they are anticipating a gentle economic slowdown, driven by a marked decline in inflation and multiple cuts in interest rates to come.
The alternative situation to consider, contrary to the general optimism, could be that of a year characterized by a classic economic recession, more or less severe, a consequence of economic and financial imbalances accumulated in the past. It could be caused also by unexpected economic, financial and geopolitical shocks to come.
Currently, the general economic consensus is that the fight with higher interest rates that the main central banks are waging against inflation, (which was generated by large public deficits and by excessive monetary creation to counter the harmful economic effects of the 2020-2022 pandemic.), will succeed.
Thus, the central question boils down to whether the coming year will witness a very manageable mild economic slowdown or that many countries could rather have to go through a longer and more severe economic recession, with a minimum of two successive quarters of contracting GDP.
The American economy
Even if the U.S. economy is presently the most resilient of all, being at a virtual full employment level, with an official 3.7 percent unemployment rate, and with a rising consumer confidence, there are nevertheless some cracks appearing.
For example, the Conference Board's leading economic index is still declining and forecasting a mild economic recession in the United States, in 2024. Also, even though U.S. employment still holds steady, job openings are declining. This could be an indication that business investment and production plans in some sectors are being adjusted downwards.
The reason why the U.S. economy is performing better than other economies, besides the contribution of its vibrant technology sector, is partly due to its heavily subsidized arms industry, which is one sector that is prosperous and in constant growth. It comprises more that 200,000 companies, the most prominent being Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, RTX (Raytheon), General Dynamics and Boeing.
Those companies are important contributors to the industrial growth and economic prosperity of states such as Alabama, Connecticut, Virginia, Texas and California.
The European and Canadian economies
It is even possible that future economic data, to be released next March, will confirm that several European countries and Canada are already into a recession, with two quarters in a row of decline in domestic production.
An energy crisis stemming from the Ukrainian-Russian conflict is adding to the rise in interest rates in slowing down European economies, notably those of the 20 countries of the Eurozone. Presently, the German and Italian economies would seem to be the best candidates for a recession.
In Canada, the unemployment rate is still respectable at 5.8 percent. But job growth is anemic, with only100 new jobs created last December.
Additionally, largely due to an open-door immigration policy, the Canadian population is growing at a record rate, by far the most of all industrialized countries, while employment growth stagnates. This is translating into a decline in living standards, as measured by real GDP per capita.
A period of stagflation can also be expected. Indeed, mass immigration, without major investments in infrastructure, increases effective demand but lowers productivity. The economy can find itself with both inflation and an economic slowdown.
The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has even published a study, in March 2023, in which it highlighted that Canada is lagging behind developed economies in terms of the standard of living of its population, which continues to decline. The standard of living in Canada has been deteriorating since 2014, under the effect of unbridled immigration and poor general productivity growth.
Geopolitical risks
What could turn a mild economic recession into a more serious one would be an expansion of the ruinous and ongoing military conflicts in Ukraine and in the Middle East, or new and wider hegemonic wars to come.
In such a case, as most governments face high debt levels (i.e. total public debts greater than their yearly total domestic product), such developments would be likely to reignite inflation and cause a further surge in interest rates in years to come.
It is rare for economic conditions and geopolitical risks to be linked so closely, but unfortunately, this is the type of world we live in today.
Conclusions
The economic conundrum in 2024 is whether the expected economic slowdown will be mild and not very disruptive to labor and stock markets, or rather, whether unforeseen financial events, such as the failure of a large financial institution, could precipitate a more serious and severe global economic recession.
The geopolitical ball is murkier because the U.S. government of Joe Biden does not seem anxious to end military conflicts, even though the President had initially promised, at the start of his administration, to rely more heavily on diplomacy to resolve international disputes.
Nevertheless, the year 2024 could be an important turning point, both economically and geopolitically.
Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay.
The Digital Revolution of Artificial Intelligence: Beneficial Economic Creative Destruction or Systemic Dehumanization. By Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay.
The Digital Revolution of Artificial Intelligence: Beneficial Economic Creative Destruction or Systemic Dehumanization.
Wednesday March 6, 2024
By Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay.
Emeritus professor of economics and international finance, Université de Montréal, and of the book about morals "The Code for Global Ethics" and the book about geopolitics "The New American Empire")
"The opening up of new markets, foreign or domestic, and the organizational development... incessantly revolutionizes the economic structure from within, incessantly destroying the old one, incessantly creating a new one. That process of creative destruction is the essential fact about capitalism." Joseph Schumpeter (1883-1950), American economist and political thinker of Austrian origin, in his book Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy, 1942.
"Every change is a menace to stability. That's another reason why we're so chary of applying new inventions. Every discovery in pure science is potentially subversive; even science must sometimes be treated as a possible enemy. Yes, even science." Aldous Huxley (1894-1963), British author of the 1932 futuristic novel Brave New World, ch.16.
"Technological progress has merely provided us with more efficient means for going backwards." Aldous Huxley (1894-1963), British author, in his essay 'Adonis and the Alphabet', 1956.
"Our entire much-praised technological progress, and civilization generally, could be compared to an axe in the hand of a pathological criminal." Albert Einstein (1879-1955), German-born theoretical physicist, 1917.
"Artificial Intelligence (AI) is probably the most important thing humanity has ever worked on. I think of it as something more profound than electricity or fire." Sundar Picha (1972- ), chief executive officer (CEO) of Alphabet Inc. and of its subsidiary Google, in 2018.
• Introduction
The digital revolution of Artificial Intelligence (AI), currently evolving very rapidly, is a technological innovation that uses complex computer programs and sophisticated mathematical algorithms. These robotic systems and AI-based models, powered by AI chips and using super computers, can automate repetitive tasks, produce texts and quickly process vast quantities of data, in complementarity with humans.
However, beyond the economic benefits that would result, there is the threat of a gradual replacement of human beings by intelligent robots, in a number of functions and activities that lend themselves to such a substitution.
Such technological advances have great potential to profoundly upend national economies, businesses and societies in decades to come, when new capital investments replace older obsolete capital investments, and some categories of workers would be replaced by intelligent machines that require more specialized workers.
This could even possibly lead to a dystopian 'Brave New World', if autonomous brain-machines, in the next futuristic era, are capable of self-improvement and are able to think by themselves, and possibly, could even learn to program other brainy machines, with hardly any human input.
• The global impact of industrial revolutions
All technological inventions produce positive advances but can also be accompanied by various disruptions and negative effects.
For example, the invention of the knife, which can be used to cut bread; but it also enables one to cut someone's throat. Likewise, the invention of dynamite and explosives helped the mining industry, but it also made wars deadlier and increased the destructive power of terrorists tenfold.
The same is true of the discovery of the fission of the atom, which led to the development of nuclear energy. This invention made it possible to produce electricity; it also made it possible to build atomic bombs and destroy entire cities and their inhabitants.
It is difficult to know precisely, in advance, what purpose a new technology will serve, for good or for evil, for economic progress or for human regression.
• Questions raised by Artificial Intelligence (AI)
As with any new technology, the AI applications today and their generalization in the future will undoubtedly create winners and losers, and not only in the economic field, but also in politics, geopolitics, social affairs, biology, in arts and even in military conflicts. It is therefore important to assess whether the winners will be more numerous than the losers, or whether it will be rather the opposite, with a small number of successful operators and a large number of expendables.
For instance, what will be the consequences of so-called generative AI models, like Nvidia's AI systems or those of pre-programmed conversational robots, such as those of ChatGPT (Open AI), Copilot (Microsoft) or Gemini (Google), which can generate text, images or other creations? Will they improve the standard of living and the quality of life of the greatest number, or will they allow some to get rich, but render entire categories of workers obsolete and impoverished? In such case, they could end up increasing income and wealth disparities.
Indeed, each new industrial revolution in the past made some successful capitalist pioneers ultra rich. For instance, there was a period in the United States, in the late 19th century, called the era of the Robber Barons. It was a time characterized by rich monopolists (Carnegie, Rockefeller, Vanderbilt, Mellon, etc.), in the industries of steel, oil, railroads or finance, who crushed competitors, rigged markets, and corrupted governments.
At the political and geopolitical levels, is it possible nowadays that some malicious oligarchies could use such digital machines to better monitor and control people and to more easily launch wars in the future?
All of this is far from being of purely theoretical concerns. The U.S. Pentagon is already planning to use intelligent robots and drones, controlled by Artificial Intelligence, to wage the wars of the future.
• The short and medium term and longer term economic effects of AI and the four industrial revolutions since 1760
In economics, the notions of short-term (1-4 years), medium-term (4-9 years) and long-term (10 years or more) can vary, depending on the economic and financial sectors. For the economy as a whole, it is possible to refer to short, medium and longer term economic business cycles. For example, many years passed between the invention of the first giant computer, as large as a building, in 1946, and the innovation of the portable computer on the computer market, in 1977, and then the arrival of Apple's Macintosh computers, in 1998.
The first industrial revolution (1760-1870) began in the mid-18th century in Britain, in the textile industry. For the first time in history, overall production and consumption in a country could grow faster than population, thanks to the productivity gains that technological innovations and production techniques made possible.
The discoveries of new sources of energy, such as those coming from gas and oil, in addition to that of coal, as well as electricity, were at the center of the second industrial revolution (1870-1914). This led to innovations in means of transport (railway, steamboat, automobile and airplane). Increased industrialization then caused a demographic migration from the countryside to the cities, which accentuated the phenomenon of urbanization, resulting in the creation of large cities and mega-metropolises with high population density.
The third industrial revolution (1930-2010) is characterized by the innovation of nuclear energy and the advent of the information age, mainly during the second part of the 20th century. It was made possible by the invention of the microprocessor and by the creation of the first computers, followed by the innovation of the Internet, satellites and wireless communication.
As for the ongoing fourth industrial revolution (arising from applications of Artificial Intelligence, an expression first introduced in 2011, at a conference held in Germany to design a new industrial policy for that country based on high technology strategies), it would be wise to distinguish an initial period of shock and transition, and a longer period of gradual acceptance and maturity, which can extend over several decades, even a century or more.
• A difficult transition of layoffs, in the short and medium term, for workers in the tertiary sector most threatened by digitalization and automation
Already, institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Goldman Sacks investment bank, among others, have attempted to quantify the net effect that applications of Artificial Intelligence will have on different categories of workers. For the IMF, 40% of jobs in the world could be affected, in one way or another, by the development of AI. These will mainly be jobs in the tertiary service sector, which risk being replaced, or affected to varying degrees, by intelligent robots. Indeed, we can classify jobs likely to be affected in one way or another by AI systems in three categories:
1- jobs potentially substituted or replaced, (such as support or secretarial jobs in banks, insurance companies, accounting offices, libraries, and in activities of translation, dubbing, etc.);
2- jobs not threatened by AI because they are performed either outdoors or because they require physical activity ( e.g. carpenter, plumber, electrician, painter, roofer, hairdresser, etc.);
3- the vast majority of jobs will be influenced to a certain degree by AI, particularly in finance, education, health, medicine, engineering, administration, cybernetics, video games, etc.
For example, in a study published in March 2023, Goldman Sacks estimated how much Artificial Intelligence could influence employment for the entire American economy. Their conclusion was that AI could replace 7% of current jobs, mainly jobs of office and white-collar workers, in years to come. However, the majority of jobs, 63% of the total, can be expected to be complementary to AI, would benefit from productivity gains and could even increase in importance. On the other hand, some 30% of jobs, mainly manual jobs, would hardly or not at all be affected by AI.
• The role of politics, supervision and regulation of applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI)
The Artificial Intelligence revolution can undoubtedly both replace and create jobs, and, by increasing labor productivity, create wealth. However, this risks causing some upheaval in certain labor markets and resulting in significant layoffs of workers in some industries.
This is why governments, responsible for the general interest, must ensure that there are no major economic and social excesses and adapt educational programs to the qualifications required in the future. They must also ensure that workers potentially penalized by layoffs are compensated and that the new wealth thus generated can benefit society as a whole, and not just a handful of operators. This will not be an easy task because there is international competition between countries to monopolize the beneficial impacts of the new technologies.
Currently, the countries that are at the forefront of regulating Artificial Intelligence technologies and AI systems are the European Union, China, the United States and the United Kingdom. The EU has put forward a preliminary regulatory and digital strategy framework called the AI Act. The objective is to identify acceptable and unacceptable risks that will arise from the applications of new digital technologies. Likewise, in June 2022, the Canadian federal government introduced the Artificial Intelligence and Data Act (LIAD) as part of bill C-27, i.e. the Digital Charter Implementation Act of 2022. The purpose is to guide AI innovation in a positive direction and to encourage a responsible adoption of AI technologies by Canadians and Canadian businesses.
• Conclusions
Does the advent of the Artificial Intelligence (AI) revolution herald an extraordinarily promising breakthrough for humanity, or does it rather carry a risk of great confusion and civilizational regression?
Indeed, many questions come to mind: will humans master the various Artificial Intelligence systems so that they serve not only the private economic and industrial interests behind their applications, but also that of displaced workers and the common interest? Is it possible that these systems will become so pervasive and so powerful that they could end up becoming forces of control, dehumanization and enslavement for large numbers of people?
A first conclusion is that no one can definitely answer these questions with precision and with full knowledge of the facts. And if we ever do get the answers, it may be too late. Consequently, everything will depend on the uses that we make of this new technology.
The digital revolution of Artificial Intelligence therefore raises more questions than it gives answers, as it is a technology that is expected to evolve and find new applications, good or bad, over time.
A second conclusion is that countries and economies that fall behind in adopting the AI technology could experience economic difficulties in the years and decades to come. Even those economies in the forefront of the new industrial revolution could expect an increase in incomes and wealth disparities.
A third conclusion is that the innovation of intelligent robots driven by Artificial Intelligence certainly opens up a new field for gains in labor productivity through creative destruction, in a certain number of professions and industries. However, it is rightly a cause for concern, as it could also facilitate cheating, falsification, confusion and dehumanization of human beings in many areas.
Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay.
http://rodriguetremblay100.blogspot.com/2024/03/march-6-2024-digital-revolution-of.html
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